I don't know how many candidates are officially still in, but really we are looking at Biden, Sanders, Warren, Bloomberg, Buttigieg.
The current odds here: US Presidential Election 2020 Democrat Candidate Betting Odds | Politics
Warren was the favourite some months ago, but not any more. According to the bookmakers Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders are the top two now.
It's funny how someone goes up or down in the polls/bookmaker odds without doing any great, without any scandal or gaffes, or announcing new policies, just because of some vague sense of momentum or how well they are doing.
I think the Democrats have totally failed to even try to learn anything strategically speaking from 2016. Overall I think as usual the left wing have the better and more just policies but no sense of strategy.
Shane Ryan said:To summarize:
1. She can’t win, either on her own merits or at a brokered convention.
2. She’s staying in, and people close to her have said it’s about “blunting” the Sanders momentum.
3. She’s publicly attacking Sanders after every primary.
4. She’s taking dark super PAC money that may be coming from anti-Bernie sources.
5. She won’t drop out even if she bombs on Super Tuesday.
When you look at the overwhelming evidence, how can you reach any conclusion but the most obvious one? Elizabeth Warren, having failed to run a successful campaign, is now out to prevent Bernie Sanders from winning. Somewhere, Joe Biden is smiling.
I see it as being trapped in a high rise building, that's being filling with increasing amounts of toxic air. Half the people are in complete denial of the danger. For the rest, it's a choice of either staying outside on the balcony, where they can breath again, but are still trapped, or jumping onto an outstretched net that promises a new start.
Even those who really want a new start keep getting talked back from everyones fear. Fear loves company!
FYI, don’t read too much into this other than Trump turns my stomach.
FYI, don’t read too much into this other than Trump turns my stomach.