Australia goes to the polls

Analysis: Nothing will be the same in Australian politics. Not after this
Even if election 2016 results in the return of the Turnbull government, nothing will be the same in Australian politics. Not after this.

This election has delivered a seismic shift in the nation's electoral landscape by effectively tearing up the conventional wisdom that managerial competence in a prime minister and cabinet should be enough, all other things being equal, to ensure a first-term government is re-elected.

Worst kind of victory looms for Turnbull
Malcolm Turnbull is facing the prospect of the worst kind of win, where the Coalition is returned with the most seats, but his authority is weakened, his internal critics are emboldened and his agenda is imperilled.

Turnbull's warning that a protest vote would produce the chaos of a hung parliament has not deterred voters around the country from acting on their disappointment in what the Coalition has delivered since 2013.
 
Turnbull and Shorten court independents with hung parliament in play
Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten have begun courting the five lower house independents who will be kingmakers if the 2016 election delivers another hung parliament, although the prime minister insists he is “quietly confident” of a narrow majority after postal votes are counted.

After suffering an unexpected nationwide 3.4% swing and losing 11 seats to Labor, with at least six more in doubt, Turnbull has begun contingency planning for the minority government he has long argued would be chaotic and disastrous for the nation.

(Is this what also awaits the UK?)

Australia election: Tight vote could end in hung parliament - BBC News
 
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Turnbull in striking distance as count continues

"We don't know who has won or lost the election in terms of who will form a government, but every Australian knows Mr Turnbull lost his mandate to do anything."

Mr Abbott, who met Liberal campaign director Tony Nutt for lunch in Canberra, however, said: "It does look more and more likely that there will be a Coalition government, and that is a very good thing."
 
Turnbull to form government, Shorten predicts another poll by year's end
Malcolm Turnbull is certain to form government, but it will be days before it is clear if the Prime Minister will have to rely on the crossbench to prop up the Coalition.

After receiving the support of Queensland independent Bob Katter on Thursday, Mr Turnbull received the backing of a second crossbench MP, Victorian independent Cathy McGowan, to give supply and confidence on Friday while a third independent, Tasmanian Andrew Wilkie, made a similar pledge.

Those pledges effectively ensured Mr Turnbull should be able to, at the very least, claim 76 seats and minority government and what is now at issue is whether the Coalition can win 76 seats and form a majority government.

Opposition leader Bill Shorten - who received the unanimous backing of the Labor caucus on Friday to remain leader - predicted Australians would head back to the polls by the end of the year, while admitting the Coalition was set to scrape home.

The Prime Minister faces a fierce fight with the Senate to pass key elements of his budget, with Labor, the Greens, and an expanded Senate crossbench likely to force him to negotiate over his 10-year company tax cut plan.

Sections of the Coalition partyroom remain furious with Mr Turnbull for running what is now widely considered to have been a lacklustre campaign in which the central message on jobs and growth did not cut through, particularly in regional areas.

Coalition MPs have publicly excoriated Labor for its "Mediscare" privatisation campaign. In private, some now concede it worked brilliantly for the opposition.

Despite the disquiet, cabinet ministers and backbenchers have locked in behind Mr Turnbull - other than a disaffected few.